Henri Kumpulainen
Information Technology Division, Finnish Defence Research Agency, Finland
Bernt M. Åkesson
Information Technology Division, Finnish Defence Research Agency, Finland
Download articlehttp://dx.doi.org/10.3384/ecp17142221Published in: Proceedings of The 9th EUROSIM Congress on Modelling and Simulation, EUROSIM 2016, The 57th SIMS Conference on Simulation and Modelling SIMS 2016
Linköping Electronic Conference Proceedings 25:32, p. 221-227
Published: 2018-12-19
ISBN: 978-91-7685-399-3
ISSN: 1650-3686 (print), 1650-3740 (online)
This paper presents a method for analyzing the effect of a class of artillery-launched sensor fuzed munitions on a target, which is a system consisting of several target elements and a fault logic. The target elements are armored vehicles and the munitions are designed speci?cally to attack single vehicles. We consider munitions which may contain one or two submunitions. We want to address the following questions: what is the probability of disabling the system given the number of ammunition, and similarly, how much ammunition is needed for disabling the system with a given con?dence level. The proposed method is based on Markov chains rather than Monte Carlo simulation.
Markov processes, probability, set theory, operations research, mathematical model, algorithms, weapons