Ole Magnus Brastein
Department of Electrical Engineering, Information Technology and Cybernetics, University of South-Eastern Norway, Porsgrunn, Norway
Roshan Sharma
Department of Electrical Engineering, Information Technology and Cybernetics, University of South-Eastern Norway, Porsgrunn, Norway
Nils-Olav Skeie
Department of Electrical Engineering, Information Technology and Cybernetics, University of South-Eastern Norway, Porsgrunn, Norway
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https://doi.org/10.3384/ecp2017051Published in: Proceedings of The 60th SIMS Conference on Simulation and Modelling SIMS 2019, August 12-16, Västerås, Sweden
Linköping Electronic Conference Proceedings 170:8, p. 51-58
Building energy management systems can reduce energy consumption for space heating in existing buildings, by utilising Model Predictive Control. In such applications, good models of building thermal behaviour is important. A popular method for creating such models is creating Thermal networks, based cognitively on naive physical information about the building thermal behaviour. Such models have lumped parameters which must be calibrated from measured temperatures and weather conditions. Since the parameters are calibrated, it is important to study the identi?ability of the parameters, prior to analysing them as physical constants derived from the building structure. By utilising a statistically founded parameter estimation method based on maximizing the likelihood function, identi?ability analysis can be performed using the Pro?le Likelihood method. In this paper, the effect of different sensor locations with respect to the buildings physical properties is studied by utilising likelihood pro?les for identi?ability analysis. The extended 2D pro?le likelihood method is used to compute two-dimensional pro?les which allows diagnosing parameter inter-dependence, in addition to analyzing the identi?ability. The 2D pro?les are compared with con?dence regions computed based on the Hessian.
building energy management systems, thermal behavior, parameter estimation, parameter identifiability, pro?le likelihood
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